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Old 09-21-2007, 05:26 PM   #17
bluperch bluperch is offline
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Agree. This chart does not show the 2:1 "victory" everyone claims. And over the past SEVEN weeks, Blu has trended down and HD-DVD has trended up. But it'll be the Xmas season that'll be the most revealing (as the largest percentage of retail sales happens over the holidays).

I don't think it'll take 10 years for high-def to take over DVD. I think each generation of new technology/acceptance gets shorter. The tipping point will come sooner as HDTVs become affordable.

And if the downloading of movies becomes ubiquitous (ala iTunes and music), see the possible demise of all "hard" media (i.e., disks). I haven't bought or played a CD in ... gee, I can't honestly remember. It won't be too many more years before we have "media centers" with terabytes of memory storage (probably using flash-type memory, which is faster and more reliable than harddrive technology). And our broadband speeds will either increase or compression technology will increase (or both) allowing for high-def movies to be downloaded in minutes. Ah, to be able to access any of my hundreds or thousands of movies within seconds ... one can dream.
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