Predictions - Blu-ray wins war late January 2010

[CptGreedle]

here is how I see it...

The possible EARLIEST official end to the war:
WB goes Blu in 1Q '08
Universal goes neutral in 1Q '08
Paramount goes neutral in mid '08
PS3 price drop and better promotion, sales go way up
War ends with Blu victor in time for holiday shopping season '08

Latest possible ending:
WB goes Blu in 2Q '08
Uni and Para remain HD-DVD exclusive in '08
Sales of PS3 and BD players drop and sales go up
4Q '08, BD sales increase/dominate
New deal for HD-DVD made to keep exclusive content
BD continues to dominate overall sales in '09
Sometime mid '09 Uni and Para go neutral
Final sales battle in 4Q '09
War ends with Blu victor in 1Q '10

Most Likely end of war:
WB goes Blu in 1Q '08
Uni goes neutral as early as 1Q '08, as late as 3Q '08
Holiday '08, Blu sales dominate again
Para goes neutral 1Q '09
End of was with Blu victor for Holidays '09

WORST (unlikely) outcome:
WB goes HD '08
Para and Uni stay HD '08
HD-DVD makes deals to bring more content and more exclusives in '08/'09
BD starts to loose sales to HD-DVD 4Q '08/'09
BD makes come back but to a stalemate
HD wins war by buying off studios and BD remains niche product as computer and game disc '10